Indices (index) trading

The place to LEARN all about investing in indices

What are indices?

 

Indices are baskets of securities, that represent a consolidated view of a larger picture. A tree does not describe the forest, as much as one healthcare stock does not describe the healthcare sector.

 

When a group of securities is bundled together and averaged to a single value, we get a performance indicator, an index of what this group represents. Representation could be of the security type, a specific sector, a country or a broader regional area.

How are indices performing today?

courtesy of TradingView

How are indices performing today?

courtesy of TradingView

History of Indices

dating back to 1884

The first index created was the Dow Jones Transportation Index. Established in July 1884, the index aimed to trace 11 transportation stocks (9 of which were railway).

Shortly after (1896), the Dow Jones Industrial Average was created, tracing the 30 largest (by market capitalization) companies in the USA.

Standard and Poor begun indexing companies in the 1920s. By 1957 the S&P500 was established, tracing the 500 largest companies in the USA. It is still considered a benchmark for the whole US equity market.

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How are indices created?

An index provider is responsible for defining the rules and criteria that govern how an index operates. This includes not just which constituents will be used, but also how the index is weighted, balanced, and rebalanced to mirror changes in companies and overall markets.

Indices by nature are diversified and often used to balance portfolios or hedge against risks of holding individually the constituents. This being said, its important that all constituents are easily tradeable (available to be bought and sold individually), for purposes of rebalancing, as well as to allow the index to be tracked by other investment products (funds and ETFs).

Depending on the index type, rebalancing may happen more or less frequently as needed. Consider equity vs fixed income, where fixed income might require more frequent rebalancing since its pricing is not as visible, and factors like credit rating, coupons and maturity play a role.

Index types

Taking equity indices as an example

the creator of a stock index asks

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Characteristics such as where the companies are incorporated, where they are headquartered, which stock exchange they are listed primarily, any secondary exchange listings, where the majority of its assets are based and/or where they derive their revenue from are addressed.

National Indices

S&P 500, CSI 300, HANG SENG 75, FTSE 100, ASX 100, NIFTY 50, DAX 40

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Classifications such as developed or emerging, group markets by characteristics such as economic development, the structure/accessibility of their capital markets (how advanced they are), how large and liquid the market is (is it easy for international investors to invest and withdraw).

Regional Indices

EUROSTOXX 50, S&P Asia 50, S&P Latin America 40, MSCI GCC 87

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Classification examples include financials, healthcare, industrials, staples, discretionary, energy, communications, IT, materials, real estate, utilities. These are important because they indicate where revenue is derived from, and the impact of economic cycles on potential investments.

Sector Indices

Indices that track sectors/industries (ex. NASDAQ Industrial, Telecom)

When creating a sector-focused stock index

creators use the benchmark classifications of GICS and ICB

Companies that have similar products/ services are categorized under a specific sector. See below cards with the classifications, based on the GICS system

Is index trading a new concept for you? Visit our glossary for basic terms and definitions

trading terms

How are stock indices weighted and valued?

Main stock indices are weighted by the constituent’s market value, or their current price, or none of the above and allow equal representation of them all.

To find the market value of a constituent also known as market capitalization/market cap, the outstanding shares are multiplied by the current price. Depending on this value, weight is assigned accordingly.

Typically, stock indices categorize constituents by market cap sizes known as large cap (over $10 billion), mid cap (between $2-$10 billion) and small cap (between $300 million to $2 billion).

Note: Fixed income weighting takes into consideration the outstanding debt of the constituent. Other factors such as payable coupons may be considered as well.

Stock index

components

Constituents

 

Individual members of an index.

In a stock index for example, a constituent is one of the companies listed.

Market value of constituents

 

Market Value = Share Price x Number of Outstanding Shares

Total market value

 

Sum of constituents market value

Base value

 

The starting value of an index. Every new value is then compared to the base value.

Divisor

Calculation depends on the index weight type.

 

  • Market cap weight | Divisor = Total market value/Base value
  • Price weight | Operator provides the divisor
  • Equal weight | No divisor

Stock index

weights

Market capitalization weight

Weight is assigned according to company size. The bigger the market cap, the bigger the weight.

 

  • Divisor = Total Market Value / Base Value
  • Index Value = Total Market Value / Divisor

Price weight

 

  • Divisor = Complex calculation – provided by the Index operator (example as of Nov 2021, the DJIA divisor is set to 0.15172752595384)
  • Index Value = Sum of Stock Prices / Divisor

Total market value

 

  • Divisor = No Divisor required.
  • Weight = 1 / number of constituents
  • Index Value = Sum of Stock Prices x Weight

Fundamentally weighted

 

More weight to constituents with better fundamentals (revenue, price-to-earnings ratio, cash flow, dividend payouts)

Weight of constituents = Value of the fundamental variable /  Sum of the values of the fundamental variable of all constituents

Rebalancing is done by committees

 

  • They set rules constituents must meet to be included
  • They meet regularly to review the index rules (quarterly or annually)
  • They decide to add / remove constituents

Why trade indices?

 

Exposure to multiple asset classes

Diversification of any portfolio

Shock absorbers of sudden moves

Constant coverage by media

Unbiased, true activity gauges

Indices are of interest because of exposure, diversification, benchmarking, their unbiased approach and media coverage.

Factors that affect index prices

 

The values of indices can be affected by all the reasons that affect their individual constituents. Since due to their nature indices don’t significantly move when a constituent moves, they tend to follow investor sentiment based on general economic conditions

POLITICS / GEOPOLITICS

National policies, global relationships

REBALANCING

Changes to the composition of the index

MACRO ENVIRONMENT

Economy and fundamental indicators

COMMODITIES

Commodity price fluctuations

MICRO ENVIRONMENT

Company fundamentals, earnings reports

SUPPLY / DEMAND

Volume, liquidity, buy/sell pressures

FORCE MAJEURE

Natural disasters, disease, pandemics

EXCHANGE RATES

Especially multinational companies

How to trade indices?

Educate yourself

What are indices, their structure, trading hours, CFDs

Index pricing

Symbols, bid/ask, pips, spread, price movers

Index logistics

Margin, margin call, stop out, leverage, lots, rollovers

Risk management

Stop loss, trailing stop, take profit, pending orders

Types of analysis

Fundamental, technical, sentimental analysis

Build trading plan

Trader types, risk tolerance, start small, pick direction, test

Choose a broker

Strict selection process, open a/c, KYC, funding, trade

Keep learning

Trading log, review, evolve, socialize, use technology

Test it all

Start with demo accounts, move to live but small

FAQs

Profitability, how to choose a broker, what to trade?

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Settlement

 

Index trading can only be cash settled.

To deliver the underlying asset, one would need weight the delivery of each stock with exact reference to their weights on the index. It would be a logistical nightmare.

Cash settlement through Mark to Market allows for settlement of profits and losses daily. On expiry of futures contracts, settlement is based on the spot price.

The underlying index is only a statistical value, and cannot be traded directly. Investors can gain exposure to indices through derivatives and funds.

Indices can be traded with short term positions through cash contracts that settle intraday. They can be rolled over to the next day with a small fee, they have tight spreads and they are priced very close to the index value.

Indices can also be traded through derivatives such as futures and options. They have wider spreads than cash contracts and expire further into the future. They are suitable for long term positions and traders speculate on a future price of the index. Other index derivatives include CFDs.

Indices can also be traded through basket products like funds and ETFs that track an index. They invest in the index constituents in same proportion and weight.

The difference between a futures price and a spot price is called basis. Basis is designed to fall to 0 when a futures contract reaches expiry.

Good to know terms regarding spot and futures prices

  • Backwardation: When the spot price is higher than the futures price
  • Contango: When the spot price is lower than the futures price

Pros of index trading

Cons of index trading

Hedging – can offset transactions on individual securities. A stock heavy portfolio can be offset via investing in index derivatives

 

Low cost – in comparison to trading individual securities, investments in indices incur lower transaction costs from a single position

 

Diversification – spreads investments across many instruments within the same asset class, reducing individual risk of components

 

Broad exposure – investors can target/gain access to multiple asset classes, sectors, markets, economies that suit their investment goals

 

Flexibility – indices come in all shapes and sizes so depending on the risk profile and end goal of investors, they can cater to most needs

Tracking errors – index funds may not replicate exactly their indices due to fees and transaction costs resulting in discrepancies in returns

 

Lack of downside protection – indices can reduce the impact of declining constituents, but they are still susceptible to overall market risk

 

Not meant to beat the market – Limited upside potential due to its nature as a market tracker. Might not see big returns in the short term

 

Missed opportunities – individual constituents may experience notable positive results that won’t reflect in a basket index product

 

Passive investments – The job of the index is to track the underlying in a passive way. Traders might miss benefits of active investing by pros

Index trading hours

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Index FAQs

What are sentiment indices?

If index trading becomes an option, a trader must spend some time analyzing the price movements and volatility. Opening and closing sessions might experience more moves than other times, but nothing is to be taken for granted. Indices have their own price movers, and its always advisable to understand the environment prior to active trades.

Is it better to trade stocks or stock indices?

Both investment types have their pros and cons. This being said, each investor must know their individual goals, preferences and risk vs reward ratio. Stock indices tend to be more suitable for passive portfolios, whereas direct stock trading requires active management and screening.

What’s the difference between indices and indexes?

There is no difference whatsoever, except how they are spelled. For all intends and purposes trading indices is the same as trading indexes.

Which are the most traded indices?

The US index benchmarks are the most widely followed and recognized indices. Many derivative products have been derived by their values and given their size and popularity, they remain the best documented indices in the world. This being said, major economies around the world are also benchmarked and followed. Examples are the S&P500, DJIA 30, NASDAQ 100, RUSSEL 2000, FTSE100, DAX40, CAC40, NIFTY 50, NIKKEI 225 and others.

How to calculate contract specifications when trading indices?

Online brokers are obliged to publish a Key Identification Document (KID) that outlines how a product can be traded with profit and loss scenarios. Its very important for traders to go through these documents and understand leveraged products, margin requirements and the trading environment of the asset.

Research and education is key

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